TMM Rotation Radar

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QUIET

WHISPERING

TALKING

ROTATION SCORE0.0 / 5

BTC-

BTC 7D-

NDX 7D-

LEVELS-

FEAR & GREED-

DATA-

UPDATED-

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NDX 7-Day Change (%)

Nasdaq 100 performance over 7 days. Negative = equities heavy.

SOX 7-Day Change (%)

Semis index, context only (not scored).

ETF Net Flows 7D ($M)

Spot BTC ETF 7-day net flow in millions USD. From Farside / monitor.

ETF Net Flow Today ($M)

Today's spot BTC ETF net flow in millions USD.

USDT Netflow to Exchanges 7D ($M)

Positive = the door money arriving. From the New Money Monitor.

Stablecoin Issuance 7D ($M)

Positive = the mint restocking the till.

Realised Profit Z-Score

Net realised P/L z-score. Under 1.5 = distribution digested.

API Base URL (optional)

If set, Fetch From API pulls everything from /api/rotation automatically.

Daily routine (manual mode): open the New Money Monitor and Farside, punch in the four flow numbers plus NDX 7D, hit Apply. Takes about a minute. Values are not stored in the browser - export a CSV snapshot if you want to reload or share the day's reading. BTC price, BTC 7D and Fear & Greed always pull live on load regardless of mode.

What this measures

The Rotation Radar scores whether capital is actually rotating out of the AI equity trade and into Bitcoin - as opposed to the narrative merely existing. It operationalises the TMM divergence checklist: rotation is only real when price decouples AND the flow plumbing confirms, at the same time.

The five checks

01 FLOWS - Spot BTC ETF inflows. Green: 7d net at or above +$300M and today's print positive. Amber: 7d net positive. Red: flat or negative.
02 EQUITIES - Nasdaq stays heavy. Green: NDX 7d at or below -1%. Amber: between -1% and +1%. Red: NDX rallying above +1% (no rotation context).
03 CORRELATION - BTC decouples. Spread = BTC 7d minus NDX 7d. Green: spread at or above +3% with BTC positive. Amber: spread positive (relative strength - the market whispering). Red: spread flat or negative.
04 NEW MONEY - The till gets restocked. Green: 7d USDT netflow AND stablecoin issuance both positive. Amber: one of the two positive. Red: both negative.
05 DISTRIBUTION - Profit taking cools. Green: realised profit z-score under 1.5. Amber: 1.5 to 2.5. Red: above 2.5 (heavy distribution still in play).

Scoring

Green = 1.0 point, Amber = 0.5, Red = 0. Out of 5.

TALKING (rotation confirmed): score at or above 4.0 AND both FLOWS and CORRELATION green. Correlation breaking is the signal, flows returning is the fuel - both are mandatory.
WHISPERING (relative strength, unconfirmed): score at or above 2.0.
QUIET (no rotation): score under 2.0.

Reading it honestly

WHISPERING is not a buy signal. It means BTC is outperforming on magnitude while still correlated on direction - the precursor state. The sequence taught on the channel: correlated decline, then relative strength, then divergence. This tool tells you which stage you are in. It does not tell you what to do.

Disclaimer

This tool is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your own risk. Data shown is best-effort from public and third-party sources and may be delayed or incorrect.